The economy is having an impact on upgrades not only for home
users but for big companies as well. Also the speed and
practicality limit seems to have been reached. What I mean by that
is we have reached a point where the next and next after that
generation of desktop computers are not really offering any
tangible differences to the end user. How much processing power
does one need to run office, send email and so forth.
Laptops are a little different because advances in size, weight
and battery life are pretty big between generations. This too will
begin to slow down at some point as well.
You do know that buying a computer from a business perspective is an
expenditure that can be written off.
I see companies going to Vista and Win 7 as I contract in them. Vista
and Win 7 were big jumps over XP under the hood and they are better
protected O/S(s) than XP.
People can't buy a new computer right now, a whole lot of them, and they
are not going to Linux. If they buy a new computer, they are still not
going to Linux. It's that simple. If they were going to Linux, they (the
masses) would have been using it long ago.
Your bet hinges upon the world economy damn near collapsing, before
Linux is accepted by the masses. It's not going to happen.